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Ontario Releases COVID-19 Modelling Numbers

The province has released the latest COVID-19 modelling.

The new data indicates that hospitals are likely to be overwhelmed  during the second wave of the pandemic. 

Projections estimate that 1 percent of case growth could mean 500 COVID-19 patients in intensive care units, and a 3 percent increase may mean 1000 ICU patients. 

Dr. Adalstein Brown, Co-Chair of the Ontario Covid-19 Science Advisory Table, says that the province is at a dangerous point. 

He also says that every region in the province has cases and each region will have serious health consequences. 

"I know that the people working in our hospitals will do everything to help cope with this crisis. Hallways will be used to house makeshift intensive care beds, field hospitals will hold patients throughout the winter. But as we climb closer to 1,000 intensive care beds, about half of our capacity filled with COVID-19 patients in February, we will have to confront choices that no doctor ever wants to make and no family ever wants to hear."

The modelers are also predicting more COVID-19 deaths in the second wave of the pandemic than in the first. 

The modelers also indicate that survey results are showing that most Ontarians are following public health guideline, but more need to follow suit. 

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